Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001785 0.001863 0.001945 0.002037 0.002137 0.002244 0.002367
2025-06-29 0.001634 0.001742 0.001859 0.001997 0.002155 0.002333 0.002552
2025-07-06 0.001537 0.001665 0.001807 0.001980 0.002188 0.002433 0.002752
2025-07-13 0.001429 0.001564 0.001717 0.001907 0.002143 0.002430 0.002820
2025-07-20 0.001375 0.001519 0.001686 0.001900 0.002171 0.002515 0.003004
2025-07-27 0.001339 0.001493 0.001675 0.001912 0.002223 0.002632 0.003242
2025-08-03 0.001296 0.001454 0.001645 0.001898 0.002237 0.002697 0.003414
2025-08-10 0.001271 0.001437 0.001639 0.001913 0.002290 0.002818 0.003684
2025-08-17 0.001237 0.001407 0.001616 0.001903 0.002305 0.002885 0.003878
2025-08-24 0.001203 0.001374 0.001587 0.001883 0.002304 0.002927 0.004034
2025-08-31 0.001195 0.001374 0.001599 0.001919 0.002387 0.003104 0.004460
2025-09-07 0.001176 0.001359 0.001592 0.001927 0.002427 0.003218 0.004793
2025-09-14 0.001147 0.001330 0.001566 0.001908 0.002427 0.003265 0.005011
2025-09-21 0.001117 0.001299 0.001535 0.001880 0.002410 0.003285 0.005174
2025-09-28 0.001094 0.001277 0.001515 0.001868 0.002418 0.003347 0.005450
2025-10-05 0.001054 0.001230 0.001461 0.001803 0.002338 0.003245 0.005311
2025-10-12 0.001036 0.001214 0.001447 0.001797 0.002351 0.003314 0.005614
2025-10-19 0.001026 0.001206 0.001446 0.001808 0.002394 0.003443 0.006115
2025-10-26 0.001008 0.001188 0.001429 0.001796 0.002396 0.003493 0.006417
2025-11-02 0.000999 0.001182 0.001429 0.001809 0.002443 0.003637 0.007066
2025-11-09 0.000984 0.001167 0.001415 0.001800 0.002449 0.003699 0.007478
2025-11-16 0.000966 0.001148 0.001395 0.001782 0.002438 0.003724 0.007773
2025-11-23 0.000965 0.001152 0.001408 0.001814 0.002521 0.003965 0.009068